National League South Gameweek 42
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stonebridge Road
  • Dominic Poleon 12' goal
  • Dominic Poleon 50' goal
  • Dominic Poleon 63' goal

Ebbsfleet vs Oxford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
Taunton Town 0 - 1 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
110
Top scorer
Dominic Poleon

Oxford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
Oxford City 4 - 0 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Josh Parker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result

Ebbsfleet 51.39% (+0.25)
Draw 23.08% (-0.07)
Oxford City 25.53% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.65% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.06% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 41.94% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 35.66% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 64.34% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 18.76% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 81.24% (-0.12)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 83.59% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 16.41% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 53.94% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 46.07% (-0.26)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5 70.17% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 29.83% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 34.08% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 65.92% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Ebbsfleet 51.39%
Draw 23.08%
Oxford City 25.53%
Ebbsfleet
2-1 @ 9.67% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.83% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.82% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.52% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.18% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.59% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 51.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.08%
Oxford City
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 25.53%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 11
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Court Place Farm
  • Oliver Sanderson 47' goal
  • goal Rakish Bingham 35'
National League South Gameweek 31
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kieran Monlouis 17' goal
  • Elliott Romain 46' goal
  • Elliott Romain 56' goal
  • goal Joe Iaciofano 71'
National League South Gameweek 13
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Reece Fleet 45' goal
  • redcard Tobi Adebayo-Rowling 85'
National League South Gameweek 20
May 18, 2021 7.45pm
National League South Gameweek 38
May 2, 2021 11.00pm