MX23RW : Monday, May 13 22:56:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Ebbsfleet United
National League South | Gameweek 42
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
3 - 0
Oxford City

Poleon (12', 50', 63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 4-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawOxford City
51.39% (0.244 0.24) 23.08% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 25.53% (-0.176 -0.18)
Both teams to score 58.65% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.06% (0.149 0.15)41.94% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.66% (0.151 0.15)64.34% (-0.149 -0.15)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.59% (0.143 0.14)16.41% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.94% (0.25700000000001 0.26)46.07% (-0.255 -0.25)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)29.83% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)65.92% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 51.39%
    Oxford City 25.53%
    Draw 23.08%
EbbsfleetDrawOxford City
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.82% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 25.53%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Oxford City
1-1
Ebbsfleet
Sanderson (47')
Bingham (35')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Ebbsfleet
3-1
Oxford City
Monlouis (17'), Romain (46', 56')
Iaciofano (71')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
May 18, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Yeovil TownYeovil46299881453696
2Chelmsford CityChelmsford City4624121076433384
3Worthing4626614104723284
4Maidstone UnitedMaidstone4624111172522083
5Braintree TownBraintree4623121164422281
6Bath City4620141269511874
7Aveley462110156861773
8Farnborough TownFarnborough462012147667972
9Hampton & RichmondHampton462012146157472
10St Albans CitySt Albans City462081877671068
11Slough TownSlough4617151481691266
12Chippenham TownChippenham461614166262062
13Weston-super-MareWeston46178216674-859
14Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels461513186566-158
15Truro CityTruro City461510215867-955
16Weymouth461218165764-754
17Welling UnitedWelling United461218165671-1554
18Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd46197207376-353
19Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne461410225374-2152
20Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.461311225571-1650
21DartfordDartford461210245675-1946
22Taunton TownTaunton Town461016204471-2746
23Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville46107295292-4037
24Dover AthleticDover Athletic46415274077-3727


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!