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National League South | Gameweek 41
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Court Place Farm

Oxford City
4 - 0
Tonbridge Angels

Lolas (16', 48', 54' pen.), Davies (24')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-2 Oxford City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 4-3 Hungerford
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 55.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Oxford CityDrawTonbridge Angels
55.78% (0.114 0.11) 22.31% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 21.91% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.88% (0.177 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (0.263 0.26)42.27% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (0.264 0.26)64.67% (-0.259 -0.26)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.98% (0.13 0.13)15.02% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.51% (0.242 0.24)43.5% (-0.239 -0.24)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93% (0.11 0.11)33.07% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.34% (0.122 0.12)69.66% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 55.78%
    Tonbridge Angels 21.91%
    Draw 22.31%
Oxford CityDrawTonbridge Angels
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.24% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.67% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 55.78%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.31%
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.047999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 21.91%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Tonbridge Angels
2-2
Oxford City
Soares-Junior (53'), Santos (67')
Ashby (26'), Parker (45')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Oxford City
5-0
Tonbridge Angels
Ashby (13', 20'), O'Donkor (61'), Iaciofano (82'), Clark (90+1')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd21117332191340
2Boreham WoodBoreham Wood21116436171939
3Weston-super-MareWeston21116434231139
4Truro CityTruro City21115533191438
5Dorking WanderersDorking22107544311337
6Farnborough TownFarnborough2111373530536
7Worthing2110653330336
8Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne2110652926336
9Maidstone UnitedMaidstone208932920933
10Slough TownSlough2195738271132
11Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels198742621531
12AFC HornchurchHornchurch218762321231
13Hampton & RichmondHampton218672922730
14Chesham UnitedChesham198473029128
15Chelmsford CityChelmsford City206773532325
16Chippenham TownChippenham2174102627-125
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.2274112945-1625
18Welling UnitedWelling United2173112337-1424
19Salisbury205692831-321
20Bath City2154121529-1419
21Aveley2143142539-1415
22Enfield Town2143142246-2415
23St Albans CitySt Albans City2128112136-1514
24Weymouth2026121230-1812


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