National League South Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • goal Josh Parker 9'
  • goal Josh Ashby 58'
  • goal Josh Parker 90'+5'

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Oxford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Bath City 1 - 0 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Josh Castiglione

Oxford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Oxford City 2 - 2 Braintree
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Josh Parker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result

Hemel Hempstead Town 23.79% (-0.04)
Draw 24.62% (-0.01)
Oxford City 51.59% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.76% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.81% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 50.19% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 27.85%
Under 3.5 72.15% (-0.01)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 64.24% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 35.75% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 27.47% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 72.52% (+0.03)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5 80.56% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 19.44% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 48.72% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 51.27% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 23.79%
Draw 24.61%
Oxford City 51.59%
Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.02% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.68% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 23.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.95% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 24.61%
Oxford City
0-1 @ 11.38% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.59% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.32% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.24% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.09% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 2.14% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.08% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 51.59%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 19
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Court Place Farm
  • Josh Parker 45'+3' goal
  • Aaron William-Bushell 71' goal
  • goal Luke Holness 25'
  • goal Josh Castiglione 59'
National League South Gameweek 27
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nana Owusu 30' goal
  • Harvey Bradbury 90' goal
National League South Gameweek 8
Oct 9, 2021 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Joe Iaciofano 4'
  • goal Joe Iaciofano 7'
  • goal Jacob Bancroft 87'
  • goal Lewie Coyle 90'+3'
National League South Gameweek 27
Mar 13, 2021 3.00pm
National League South Gameweek 15
Jan 19, 2021 7.45pm
3
5
HT : 2 1
FT
  • John Lacey 1' goal
  • Ryan Sellers 36' goal
  • Bernard Christie 46' goal
  • goal Pablo Martinez 45'+1'
  • goal Reece Fleet 58'
  • goal Harvey Bradbury 73'
  • goal Harvey Bradbury 75'
  • goal Jacob Bancroft 89'
National League South Gameweek 39
Apr 10, 2020 3.00pm
Vauxhall Ground