Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Welling United
61.12% ( -0)	20.71% ( 0)	18.17% ( -0)

Both teams to score 56.08% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.64% (

-0.02)

40.36% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.27% (

-0.02)

62.73% (

0.02)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.25% (

-0.01)

12.75% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.98% (

-0.01)

39.02% (

0.01)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.28% (

-0.01)

35.72% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.51% (

-0.01)

72.49% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Oxford City 61.12%

Welling United 18.17%

Draw 20.71%

Oxford City	Draw	Welling United
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.41% 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 3.57% Total : 61.12%	1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.71%	1-2 @ 4.97% 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.17%