Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Welling United in this match.