National League South Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT The A2B Stadium
  • James Beresford 3' goal
  • Callum Kealy 18' goal
  • Josh Chambers 24' goal
  • goal Devonte Aransibia 12'
  • goal Jordan Greenidge 90'

Worthing vs Tonbridge Angels - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Worthing 1 - 0 Oxford City
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
Ebbsfleet 1 - 2 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Jordan Greenidge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 56.71%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 21.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result

Worthing 56.71% (-0.12)
Draw 21.46% (-0.49)
Tonbridge Angels 21.82% (+0.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.71% (+2.62)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.53% (+3.04)
Under 2.5 38.46% (-3.05)
Over 3.5 39.24% (+3.15)
Under 3.5 60.75% (-3.16)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 86.55% (+0.98)
Under 0.5 13.44% (-0.99)
Over 1.5 59.57% (+1.93)
Under 1.5 40.42% (-1.94)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 68.99% (+2.27)
Under 0.5 31.01% (-2.28)
Over 1.5 32.68% (+2.58)
Under 1.5 67.31% (-2.58)

Score analysis

Worthing 56.71%
Draw 21.46%
Tonbridge Angels 21.82%
Worthing
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 8.39% (-0.61)
1-0 @ 8.37% (-0.93)
3-1 @ 6.57% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.20)
3-2 @ 3.85% (+0.34)
4-1 @ 3.3% (+0.21)
4-0 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.93% (+0.23)
5-1 @ 1.32% (+0.13)
5-0 @ 1.13% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 56.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.8% (-0.43)
2-2 @ 5.75% (+0.31)
0-0 @ 4.17% (-0.64)
3-3 @ 1.5% (+0.22)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.46%
Tonbridge Angels
1-2 @ 5.74% (+0.11)
0-1 @ 4.88% (-0.40)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.25% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 2.24% (+0.18)
0-3 @ 1.12% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 21.82%