National League South Gameweek 18
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The A2B Stadium
  • Callum Kealy 63' goal

Worthing vs Oxford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
Hungerford 0 - 0 Worthing
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Oxford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Oxford City 2 - 0 Hungerford
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Josh Parker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result

Worthing 47.65% (+0.08)
Draw 23.51% (-0.02)
Oxford City 28.83% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.02% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.59% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 41.41% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 36.19% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 63.8% (-0.04)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 82.39% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 17.6% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 51.82% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 48.18% (-0.08)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5 72.84% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 27.15% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 37.45% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 62.55% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Worthing 47.65%
Draw 23.51%
Oxford City 28.83%
Worthing
2-1 @ 9.4% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.21% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.44% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.18% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.55% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 47.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.82% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 4.78% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.51%
Oxford City
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 28.83%