National League South | Gameweek 18
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The A2B Stadium

Worthing
1 - 0
Oxford City

Kealy (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions
Last Game: Hungerford 0-0 Worthing
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South

Oxford City

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Fleetwood 3-1 Oxford City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
WorthingDrawOxford City
47.65% (0.074999999999996 0.07)23.51% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)28.83% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 60.02% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.59% (0.036000000000001 0.04)41.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.19% (0.037999999999997 0.04)63.8% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39% (0.042000000000002 0.04)17.6% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.82% (0.074000000000005 0.07)48.18% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.84% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)27.15% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)62.55% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 47.65%
    Oxford City 28.83%
    Draw 23.51%
WorthingDrawOxford City
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.44% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.18% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 47.65%
1-1 @ 10.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 4.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.23% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.83%