National League South | Gameweek 22
Dec 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Park View Road

Welling United
1 - 2
Farnborough Town

Payne (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kasimu (27'), Pendlebury (90+3')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Bath City 1-1 Welling United
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in National League South

Farnborough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-2 Hampton
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Welling United win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Farnborough Town in this match.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawFarnborough Town
31.34% (0.11 0.11)23.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.73% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 60.1% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.02% (0.084000000000003 0.08)41.97% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.62% (0.084000000000003 0.08)64.37% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (0.111 0.11)25.8% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (0.148 0.15)60.76% (-0.148 -0.15)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)19% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)50.55% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 31.34%
    Farnborough Town 44.73%
    Draw 23.92%
Welling UnitedDrawFarnborough Town
2-1 @ 7.47% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.64% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 4.5% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 31.34%
1-1 @ 11.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.14% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.07% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.74% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 44.73%