Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.