National League South | Gameweek 8
Nov 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Princes Park

Dartford
5 - 1
Welling United

Fonkeu (11'), Rodari (28'), Statham (39'), Smith (61'), Coulson (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Azeez (53')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dartford and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dartford

All competitions
Last Game: Dartford 3-0 Weymouth
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Hungerford
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 20.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.

Result
DartfordDrawWelling United
56.97% (2.53 2.53)22.76% (-0.852 -0.85)20.27% (-1.678 -1.68)
Both teams to score 52.89% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.63% (1.552 1.55)46.37% (-1.553 -1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35% (1.443 1.44)68.65% (-1.446 -1.45)
Dartford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.96% (1.45 1.45)16.04% (-1.451 -1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.6% (2.59 2.59)45.4% (-2.592 -2.59)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63% (-0.793 -0.79)37% (0.791 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.22% (-0.794 -0.79)73.78% (0.79300000000001 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Dartford 56.97%
    Welling United 20.27%
    Draw 22.75%
DartfordDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 10.86% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 9.94% (0.313 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.06% (0.468 0.47)
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.345 0.35)
3-2 @ 3% (0.11 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.335 0.34)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.28 0.28)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.113 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.165 0.17)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 56.97%
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.398 -0.4)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.75%
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.533 -0.53)
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.329 -0.33)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.335 -0.34)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.27%

Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Dartford
4-2
Welling United
Dinanga (18', 88'), Leonard (32'), Allen (75')
Akinyemi (3', 21')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Welling United
0-6
Dartford
Husin (1'), Azeez (22', 71'), Leonard (36'), Allen (50', 53')
Apr 30, 2021 11pm
Welling United
0-0
Dartford
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Dartford
2-2
Welling United
Allen (58'), Berkeley-Agyepong (63')
Della-Verde (18'), Akinyemi (47' pen.)
Nov 11, 2014 7.45pm
Dartford
2-1
Welling United
Cornhill (33'), Crawford (52')
Beautyman (86')
Gallagher (50')
Gallagher (83'), Bush (89')