Braintree Town
National League South | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ironmongery Direct Stadium

Braintree
4 - 1
Welling United

Clements (34'), Matthews (41'), Reynolds (72'), Rush (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Azeez (30')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Braintree Town and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braintree Town

All competitions
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-2 Braintree
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-1 Welling United
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.

Result
Braintree TownDrawWelling United
46.88% (1.463 1.46)25.28% (-0.276 -0.28)27.83% (-1.19 -1.19)
Both teams to score 53.36% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15% (0.472 0.47)49.85% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15% (0.42 0.42)71.85% (-0.42400000000001 -0.42)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (0.85299999999999 0.85)21.28% (-0.857 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8% (1.307 1.31)54.2% (-1.309 -1.31)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-0.645 -0.64)32.22% (0.641 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (-0.736 -0.74)68.71% (0.732 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Braintree Town 46.88%
    Welling United 27.83%
    Draw 25.28%
Braintree TownDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 10.6% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.136 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.21% (0.261 0.26)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.19 0.19)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.239 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.119 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.131 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 46.88%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.86% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.292 -0.29)
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.246 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.57% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 27.83%

Head to Head
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Braintree
2-2
Welling United
Johnson (35'), Holness (47')
Akinyemi (62'), Barnes (74')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Welling United
1-0
Braintree
Shokunbi (22')
Feb 9, 2021 7.45pm
Welling United
P-P
Braintree
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Braintree
1-1
Welling United
Derry (80')
Akinyemi (89')
Apr 4, 2020 3pm
Braintree
P-P
Welling United