Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Welling United win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.