Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 14.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	Welling United
64.99% ( 0.08)	20.18% ( -0.05)	14.83% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.44% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.83% (

0.17)

44.17% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.46% (

0.17)

66.55% (

-0.17)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.19% (

0.08)

12.81% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.86% (

0.16)

39.14% (

-0.16)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.85% (

0.06)

42.15% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.43% (

0.05)

78.57% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 64.98%

Welling United 14.83%

Draw 20.18%

Chelmsford City	Draw	Welling United
2-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 64.98%	1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.18%	0-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.6% Total : 14.83%