Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.