National League South | Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Braintree Town

Chelmsford City
2 - 0
Braintree

Blackwell (3'), Grant (78' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 3-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League South

Braintree Town

All competitions
Last Game: Braintree 0-0 Oxford City
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawBraintree Town
55.44% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)23.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)20.81% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.65% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)49.77% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)71.78% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.19% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)17.81% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.46% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)48.53% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.62% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)38.38% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.87% (-0.044 -0.04)75.13% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 55.43%
    Braintree Town 20.81%
    Draw 23.74%
Chelmsford CityDrawBraintree Town
1-0 @ 11.79% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 55.43%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 20.81%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Braintree
2-2
Chelmsford City
Holness (68'), Ilic (81')
Dada (12'), Blackwell (47')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Chelmsford City
3-0
Braintree
Jackson (14', 28'), Blackwell (32')
Feb 2, 2021 7.45pm
Braintree
P-P
Chelmsford City
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Chelmsford City
4-2
Braintree
Sheringham (55'), Wraight (60'), James (64'), Morgan (71' pen.)
Olomowewe (18'), Derry (40')