Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.