Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Worthing	Draw	Chelmsford City
44.77% ( 2.66)	24.56% ( -0.58)	30.67% ( -2.07)

Both teams to score 57.54% (

1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.82% (

1.82)

45.18% (

-1.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.47% (

1.72)

67.52% (

-1.72)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71% (

1.98)

20.29% (

-1.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.35% (

3.06)

52.65% (

-3.06)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19% (

-0.43)

27.81% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.59% (

-0.56)

63.4% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Worthing 44.77%

Chelmsford City 30.68%

Draw 24.55%

Worthing	Draw	Chelmsford City
2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.42) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.37) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.86% Total : 44.77%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.45) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.55%	1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.32) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.68) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.5) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.68%