National League South Gameweek 20
Nov 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT The A2B Stadium
  • Callum Kealy 35' goal
  • goal Kai Yearn 21'
  • goal Cameron James 24'
  • goal Tom Blackwell 59'

Worthing vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Worthing 3 - 2 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 0 - 2 Hampton
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Tom Blackwell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result

Worthing 44.77% (+2.66)
Draw 24.56% (-0.59)
Chelmsford City 30.67% (-2.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.54% (+1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.82% (+1.83)
Under 2.5 45.18% (-1.82)
Over 3.5 32.47% (+1.73)
Under 3.5 67.52% (-1.72)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 79.71% (+1.98)
Under 0.5 20.29% (-1.98)
Over 1.5 47.35% (+3.07)
Under 1.5 52.65% (-3.07)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 72.19% (-0.44)
Under 0.5 27.81% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 36.59% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 63.4% (+0.57)

Score analysis

Worthing 44.77%
Draw 24.55%
Chelmsford City 30.68%
Worthing
2-1 @ 9.19% (+0.28)
1-0 @ 9% (-0.16)
2-0 @ 7.18% (+0.31)
3-1 @ 4.89% (+0.43)
3-0 @ 3.82% (+0.38)
3-2 @ 3.13% (+0.24)
4-1 @ 1.95% (+0.28)
4-0 @ 1.52% (+0.23)
4-2 @ 1.25% (+0.17)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 44.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.35)
2-2 @ 5.88% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 5.64% (-0.46)
3-3 @ 1.33% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.55%
Chelmsford City
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.32)
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.68)
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.50)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.18)
2-3 @ 2.51% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.24)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 30.68%