National League South Gameweek 17
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stonebridge Road
  • Rakish Bingham 27' goal
  • Luke O'Neill 89' goal

Ebbsfleet vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
Dover Athletic 1 - 2 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
110
Top scorer
Dominic Poleon

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 7, 2023 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 0 - 1 Chippenham
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Tom Blackwell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result

Ebbsfleet 57.36% (-1.33)
Draw 22.31% (+0.36)
Chelmsford City 20.33% (+0.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.49% (+0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.7% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 44.3% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 33.32% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 66.67% (+0.23)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5 84.8% (-0.51)
Under 0.5 15.2% (+0.51)
Over 1.5 56.17% (-0.97)
Under 1.5 43.83% (+0.97)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 64.26% (+0.86)
Under 0.5 35.74% (-0.87)
Over 1.5 27.48% (+0.88)
Under 1.5 72.51% (-0.88)

Score analysis

Ebbsfleet 57.35%
Draw 22.3%
Chelmsford City 20.33%
Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.64% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.27)
3-2 @ 3.21% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.12)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.19)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 57.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.52% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 5.43% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.1% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.1% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.3%
Chelmsford City
0-1 @ 5.59% (+0.19)
1-2 @ 5.42% (+0.21)
0-2 @ 2.88% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 1.86% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.75% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 20.33%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 42
May 7, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sido Jombarti 50' goal
  • Rakish Bingham 55' goal
  • goal Charlie Sheringham 72'
National League South Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 42
May 28, 2021 11.00pm
National League South Gameweek 19
May 11, 2021 7.45pm