Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.