Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 65.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Weymouth win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.