Ebbsfleet United
National League South | Gameweek 27
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road
Weymouth

Ebbsfleet
4 - 1
Weymouth

Poleon (30', 80', 90+1'), Bingham (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
O'Connell (90+3')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Weymouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
Last Game: Dartford 4-0 Ebbsfleet
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South

Weymouth

All competitions
Last Game: Weymouth 1-3 Taunton Town
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 65.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 15.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Weymouth win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawWeymouth
65.66% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)19.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)15.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.36% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.79% (0.018999999999998 0.02)38.21% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.51% (0.020000000000003 0.02)60.48% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.12% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)10.87% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65% (0.015999999999991 0.02)35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)37.88% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.35% (0.010999999999999 0.01)74.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 65.66%
    Weymouth 15.26%
    Draw 19.08%
EbbsfleetDrawWeymouth
2-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.5%
3-1 @ 7.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 4.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.04% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 65.66%
1-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.08%
1-2 @ 4.31%
0-1 @ 4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.94% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 15.26%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Weymouth
2-3
Ebbsfleet
Bearwish (34'), Ash (76')
Poleon (3'), Tanner (49', 90+10')