Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.