Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oxford City in this match.