Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 62.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 17.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Dover Athletic
62.17% ( -6.83)	20.6% ( 2.3)	17.23% ( 4.53)

Both teams to score 54.54% (

3.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.53% (

-1.01)

41.46% (

1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.13% (

-1.03)

63.86% (

1.03)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.21% (

-2.15)

12.79% (

2.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.9% (

-4.6)

39.1% (

4.6)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.55% (

5.51)

37.45% (

-5.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.77% (

5.03)

74.23% (

-5.03)

Score Analysis

Oxford City 62.16%

Dover Athletic 17.23%

Draw 20.6%

Oxford City	Draw	Dover Athletic
2-0 @ 10.12% ( -1.35) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.39) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( -1.63) 3-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.42) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( -1.23) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.55) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.29) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.68) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.37) Other @ 3.43% Total : 62.16%	1-1 @ 9.68% ( 1.02) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.79) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.6%	1-2 @ 4.75% ( 1.1) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.84) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.68) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.45) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.53) Other @ 2.31% Total : 17.23%