National League South | Gameweek 19
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Court Place Farm

Oxford City
2 - 2
Hemel Hempstead

Parker (45+3'), William-Bushell (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Holness (25'), Castiglione (59')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-0 Oxford City
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 3-2 Hungerford
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Oxford CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
54.67% (-7.46 -7.46)22.78% (2.185 2.19)22.54% (5.273 5.27)
Both teams to score 56.15% (1.506 1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (-2.265 -2.27)43.64% (2.262 2.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.96% (-2.259 -2.26)66.03% (2.258 2.26)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13% (-3.094 -3.09)15.87% (3.093 3.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91% (-6.02 -6.02)45.08% (6.017 6.02)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.74% (4.094 4.09)33.26% (-4.097 -4.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13% (4.264 4.26)69.87% (-4.266 -4.27)
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 54.67%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 22.54%
    Draw 22.78%
Oxford CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-0 @ 9.72% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-1.158 -1.16)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.783 -0.78)
3-0 @ 5.49% (-1.442 -1.44)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.731 -0.73)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-1.039 -1.04)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.198 -0.2)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.421 -0.42)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.538 -0.54)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 54.67%
1-1 @ 10.69% (1.02 1.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.52 0.52)
0-0 @ 5.28% (0.505 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 5.89% (1.126 1.13)
0-1 @ 5.81% (1.111 1.11)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.885 0.89)
1-3 @ 2.16% (0.597 0.6)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.38 0.38)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.414 0.41)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 22.54%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Oxford City
2-0
Hemel Hempstead
Owusu (30'), Bradbury (90')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Hemel Hempstead
0-4
Oxford City
Iaciofano (4', 7'), Bancroft (87'), Coyle (90+3')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Oxford City
0-0
Hemel Hempstead
Jan 19, 2021 7.45pm
Hemel Hempstead
3-5
Oxford City
Lacey (1'), Sellers (36'), Christie (46')
Martinez (45+1'), Fleet (58'), Bradbury (73', 75'), Bancroft (89')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Hemel Hempstead
P-P
Oxford City