National League South Gameweek 17
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Westleigh Park
  • Jake McCarthy 36' goal
  • Muhammadu Fall 54' goal

Havant & Waterlooville vs Hemel Hempstead Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Havant & Waterlooville

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Havant & W'ville 0 - 1 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Muhammadu Fall

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
Hemel Hemps. 1 - 1 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Josh Castiglione

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.

Result

Havant & Waterlooville 46.26% (+0.41)
Draw 24.74% (-0.06)
Hemel Hempstead Town 29% (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.91% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.12% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 46.88% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 30.87% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 69.13% (-0.08)

Havant & Waterlooville Goals

Over 0.5 79.67% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 20.33% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 47.28% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 52.72% (-0.33)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 70.18% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 29.82% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 34.1% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 65.9% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Havant & Waterlooville 46.26%
Draw 24.74%
Hemel Hempstead Town 29%
Havant & Waterlooville
1-0 @ 9.66% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.31% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.69% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 4.94% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.09% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.99% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.97% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.63% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 46.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.74%
Hemel Hempstead Town
0-1 @ 7.34% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 41
May 2, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 22
Feb 9, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bernard Christie 13' goal
  • Reggie Young 52' goal
National League South Gameweek 12
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 2 3
FT
  • Danny Kedwell 14' goal
  • Moussa Diarra 44' goal
  • goal Kyle Ajayi 2'
  • goal Omar Rowe 11'
  • redcard N. Cooper 14'
  • goal Josh Lacey 31'