Hemel Hempstead

3 - 2

Hungerford

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.