National League South | Gameweek 18

Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hempstead
3 - 2
Hungerford

Dada (15', 67' pen.), Castiglione (32')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Roberts (42'), Jones (47')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Hungerford Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions

Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Hungerford Town

All competitions

Last Game: Hungerford 0-0 Worthing
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Hungerford Town
49.68% ( 0.1)	24.9% ( -0.03)	25.42% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 52.55% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.05% (

0.04)

49.95% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.06% (

0.04)

71.93% (

-0.04)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.88% (

0.05)

20.12% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.62% (

0.09)

52.38% (

-0.1)

Hungerford Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.79% (

-0.04)

34.21% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.09% (

-0.04)

70.9% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 49.68%

Hungerford Town 25.42%

Draw 24.89%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Hungerford Town
1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 49.68%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 25.42%