Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheshunt win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheshunt win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheshunt would win this match.