National League South | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bulpit Lane

Hungerford
1 - 2
Cheshunt

Allen (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Re (14'), Charles (40')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hungerford Town and Cheshunt.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungerford Town

All competitions
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Hungerford
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South

Cheshunt

All competitions
Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Cheshunt
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheshunt win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheshunt win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheshunt would win this match.

Result
Hungerford TownDrawCheshunt
33.74% (0.692 0.69)25.94% (0.235 0.23)40.32% (-0.928 -0.93)
Both teams to score 54.05% (-0.59500000000001 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.76% (-0.848 -0.85)50.24% (0.847 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.8% (-0.758 -0.76)72.19% (0.75700000000001 0.76)
Hungerford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.021000000000001 0.02)28.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (0.028999999999996 0.03)64.06% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Cheshunt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41% (-0.854 -0.85)24.58% (0.853 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.92% (-1.211 -1.21)59.08% (1.21 1.21)
Score Analysis
    Hungerford Town 33.74%
    Cheshunt 40.32%
    Draw 25.94%
Hungerford TownDrawCheshunt
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.303 0.3)
2-1 @ 7.77% (0.085 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.54% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.27% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.33% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.74%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 9.77% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.86% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 40.32%