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National League South | Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Court Place Farm
Weymouth

Oxford City
3 - 1
Weymouth

Parker (35', 63'), Carroll (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)
McBurnie (74')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Weymouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 Oxford City
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Oxford CityDrawWeymouth
51.85% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01) 22.02% (0.0040000000000013 0) 26.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.05% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.58% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)36.42% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.44% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)58.56% (0.012 0.01)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)14.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)42.07% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)26.45% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (0.0020000000000024 0)61.63% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 51.85%
    Weymouth 26.13%
    Draw 22.02%
Oxford CityDrawWeymouth
2-1 @ 9.52%
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 51.85%
1-1 @ 9.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 3.78% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.02% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 26.13%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Weymouth
0-2
Oxford City
Coyle (7'), Lolas (76' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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1Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd21117332191340
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4Truro CityTruro City21115533191438
5Dorking WanderersDorking22107544311337
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9Maidstone UnitedMaidstone208932920933
10Slough TownSlough2195738271132
11Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels198742621531
12AFC HornchurchHornchurch218762321231
13Hampton & RichmondHampton218672922730
14Chesham UnitedChesham198473029128
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