Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 50.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 1-0 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.