National League South | Gameweek 27
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bulpit Lane
Dover Athletic

Hungerford
1 - 0
Dover Athletic

Evans (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hungerford Town and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungerford Town

All competitions
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-1 Hungerford
Sunday, January 1 at 1pm in National League South

Dover Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Dulwich Hamlet
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hungerford Town in this match.

Result
Hungerford TownDrawDover Athletic
42.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.21%30.9% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)52.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.87% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Hungerford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.87% (0.0019999999999953 0)24.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57% (0.0019999999999953 0)58.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (0.013000000000005 0.01)31.17% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (0.014000000000003 0.01)67.51% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hungerford Town 42.89%
    Dover Athletic 30.9%
    Draw 26.2%
Hungerford TownDrawDover Athletic
1-0 @ 10.69%
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 42.89%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.9%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Dover Athletic
1-0
Hungerford
Pavey (66')