National League South Gameweek 13
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Bulpit Lane
  • Jake Evans 76' goal
  • goal Callum Jones 29'

Hungerford Town vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hungerford Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
Hungerford 1 - 1 Chippenham
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Jake Evans

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 0 - 1 Welling United
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Tom Blackwell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Hungerford Town 31.75% (-0.23)
Draw 26% (-0.27)
Chelmsford City 42.24% (+0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.22% (+0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.97% (+1.04)
Under 2.5 51.03% (-1.04)
Over 3.5 27.11% (+0.91)
Under 3.5 72.89% (-0.91)

Hungerford Town Goals

Over 0.5 69.99% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 30.01% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 33.86% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 66.14% (-0.45)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 76.05% (+0.71)
Under 0.5 23.95% (-0.71)
Over 1.5 41.82% (+1.01)
Under 1.5 58.18% (-1.01)

Score analysis

Hungerford Town 31.75%
Draw 26%
Chelmsford City 42.24%
Hungerford Town
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.28)
2-1 @ 7.44% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.21% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 2.99% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 31.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.31)
2-2 @ 5.32% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-95.49)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26%
Chelmsford City
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.23)
1-2 @ 8.84% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 7.34% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.21% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 3.5% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.53% (+0.11)
1-4 @ 1.5% (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.25% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 42.24%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 34
Mar 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Ryan Seager 54'
  • goal Ryan Seager 63'
National League South Gameweek 23
Jan 22, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ryan Seager 40' goal
  • Ryan Seager 59' goal
  • goal Zak Bradshaw 27'
National League South Gameweek 41
May 21, 2021 11.00pm
National League South Gameweek 26