National League South | Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Court Place Farm
Oxford City1 - 2Farnborough Town
Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Farnborough Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dartford 0-0 Oxford City
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-2 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Farnborough Town in this match.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | Farnborough Town |
34.22% ( -0.94) | 24.48% ( -0.11) | 41.3% ( 1.05) |
Both teams to score 59.22% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.41% ( 0.34) | 43.59% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.02% ( 0.33) | 65.98% ( -0.33) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.14% ( -0.37) | 24.86% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.54% ( -0.52) | 59.46% ( 0.53) |
Farnborough Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.81% ( 0.64) | 21.19% ( -0.64) |