Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Weymouth win it was 1-2 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.