National League South Gameweek 23
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Paddy Power Park
  • Freddie Grant 51' goal
  • goal Kaylen Hinds 12'
  • goal Bayley Brown 22'

Farnborough Town vs Hemel Hempstead Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Farnborough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
Bath City 0 - 1 Farnborough
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Mason Bloomfield

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
Hemel Hemps. 0 - 0 Dover Athletic
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Josh Castiglione

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Farnborough Town 54.54% (-0.05)
Draw 23.24% (+0.02)
Hemel Hempstead Town 22.22% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.19% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.97% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 46.04% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 31.66% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 68.34% (+0.02)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5 83.23% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 16.77% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 53.28% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 46.72% (+0.04)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 65.11% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 34.89% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 28.37% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 71.63% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Farnborough Town 54.53%
Draw 23.24%
Hemel Hempstead Town 22.22%
Farnborough Town
1-0 @ 10.44% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 54.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.85% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.17% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.24%
Hemel Hempstead Town
0-1 @ 6.16% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.79% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.24% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 22.22%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vauxhall Road (Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire)
  • Jordan Greenidge 25' goal