National League South Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Dover Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
Dartford 1 - 3 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Josh Castiglione

Dover Athletic

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Tonbridge Angels 4 - 0 Dover Athletic
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Luke Wanadio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Hemel Hempstead Town 44.62% (-0.08)
Draw 25.88% (-0.02)
Dover Athletic 29.5% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.56% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.61% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 51.39% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 26.8% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 73.21% (-0.08)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.05% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.96%
Over 1.5 43.26% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.74% (+0.01)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 68.23% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 31.78% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 31.79% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 68.21% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 44.62%
Draw 25.87%
Dover Athletic 29.5%
Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.44% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.87% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 44.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 25.87%
Dover Athletic
0-1 @ 8.36% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.79% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.7% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.83% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 29.5%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • Jake Goodman 16' goal
  • Jordan Higgs 42' goal
  • Noah Carney 85' goal
  • Luke Baptiste 90'+2' goal