National League South Gameweek 22
Dec 6, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • Elliott Romain 38' goal

Hemel Hempstead Town vs Bath City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Concord Rangers 2 - 1 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Josh Castiglione

Bath City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Bath City 1 - 1 Welling United
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Scott Wilson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.

Result

Hemel Hempstead Town 39.94% (-0.01)
Draw 25.05% (-0.01)
Bath City 35.01% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.37% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.93% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 46.07% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.62% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.37% (-0.04)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.07% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.92% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 43.31% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 56.68% (-0.03)

Bath City Goals

Over 0.5 74.42% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 25.57% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 39.56% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 60.44% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 39.94%
Draw 25.04%
Bath City 35.01%
Hemel Hempstead Town
2-1 @ 8.67%
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.26% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.04%
Bath City
1-2 @ 8.03% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.99% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 35.01%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 33
Mar 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alex Fletcher 64' goal
  • Tom Smith 73' goal
  • goal Sam Mantom 8'
National League South Gameweek 22
Jan 15, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gus Scott-Morriss 38' goal
  • Charlee Hughes 64' goal
  • Alex Addai 85' goal
  • goal Cody Cooke 42'
National League South Gameweek 35
Apr 17, 2021 3.00pm
National League South Gameweek 6
Nov 7, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Donovan Wilson 12' goal
  • goal Matt Bateman 20'
  • goal Reggie Young 80'