Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.