Concord Rangers
National League South | Gameweek 21
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Thames Road

Concord Rangers
2 - 1
Hemel Hempstead

Bettamer (9'), Kyei (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Romain (75')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Concord Rangers and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Concord Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Dartford 3-1 Concord Rangers
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Taunton Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Concord RangersDrawHemel Hempstead Town
34.66% (-0.655 -0.66)25.42% (-0.127 -0.13)39.92% (0.77999999999999 0.78)
Both teams to score 56.02% (0.321 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (0.461 0.46)47.79% (-0.463 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (0.423 0.42)69.97% (-0.425 -0.42)
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)26.59% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (-0.226 -0.23)61.81% (0.223 0.22)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (0.611 0.61)23.69% (-0.613 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (0.871 0.87)57.8% (-0.875 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Concord Rangers 34.66%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 39.92%
    Draw 25.41%
Concord RangersDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-1 @ 7.96% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 9.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.53% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.121 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.14% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.069 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.058 0.06)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 39.92%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Hemel Hempstead
3-1
Concord Rangers
Fasanmade (3', 42'), Cerulli (76')
Green (85' pen.)
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Concord Rangers
1-0
Hemel Hempstead
Green (7')
May 7, 2021 11pm
Concord Rangers
0-0
Hemel Hempstead
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Hemel Hempstead
P-P
Concord Rangers