National League South Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • Elliott Romain 56' goal
  • goal Shaun Jeffers 3'
  • goal Zane Banton 64'
  • goal Zane Banton 73'

Hemel Hempstead Town vs St Albans City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 6, 2022 7.45pm
Hemel Hemps. 1 - 0 Bath City
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Josh Castiglione

St Albans City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 10, 2022 3.00pm
St Albans City 3 - 0 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Shaun Jeffers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.

Result

Hemel Hempstead Town 25.03% (-1.37)
Draw 24.11% (-0.16)
St Albans City 50.87% (+1.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.68% (-0.80)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.05% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 46.95% (+0.45)
Over 3.5 30.8% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 69.2% (+0.42)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.08% (-1.34)
Under 0.5 32.92% (+1.35)
Over 1.5 30.5% (-1.52)
Under 1.5 69.49% (+1.52)

St Albans City Goals

Over 0.5 81.52% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 18.48% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 50.32% (+0.73)
Under 1.5 49.68% (-0.72)

Score analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 25.03%
Draw 24.1%
St Albans City 50.87%
Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 6.76% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.27)
2-0 @ 3.76% (-0.22)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.20)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 25.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.08% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.1%
St Albans City
0-1 @ 10.27% (+0.33)
1-2 @ 9.64% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 8.67% (+0.40)
1-3 @ 5.42% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 4.88% (+0.29)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 2.29% (+0.09)
0-4 @ 2.06% (+0.15)
2-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 50.87%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 18
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Shaun Jeffers 74'
  • goal Shaun Jeffers 85'
National League South Gameweek 20
Jan 2, 2022 1.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Shaun Jeffers 45' goal
  • goal Cole Kpekawa 6'
  • goal Charlee Hughes 37'
  • goal Alfie Williams 67'
National League South Gameweek 16
National League South Gameweek 14
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Solomon Nwabuokei 58' goal
  • goal John Lacey 71'