National League South | Gameweek 25

Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hempstead
1 - 3
St Albans City

Romain (56')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jeffers (3'), Banton (64', 73')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions

Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-0 Bath City
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

St Albans City

All competitions

Last Game: St Albans City 3-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	St Albans City
25.03% ( -1.36)	24.11% ( -0.16)	50.87% ( 1.52)

Both teams to score 54.68% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.05% (

-0.44)

46.95% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.8% (

-0.41)

69.2% (

0.41)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.08% (

-1.34)

32.92% (

1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.5% (

-1.52)

69.49% (

1.52)

St Albans City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.52% (

0.43)

18.48% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.32% (

0.72)

49.68% (

-0.72)

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 25.03%

St Albans City 50.87%

Draw 24.1%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	St Albans City
1-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.03%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.1%	0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.39) 1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.87%