Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.