National League South | Gameweek 18
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Clarence Park
Weymouth

St Albans City
3 - 2
Weymouth

Jeffers (20', 34'), Weiss (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Willson (59'), Bearwish (89')
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Weymouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slough 1-3 St Albans City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.

Result
St Albans CityDrawWeymouth
58.18% (0.061999999999998 0.06)22.28% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)19.54% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.7% (0.090000000000003 0.09)45.29% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.37% (0.085999999999999 0.09)67.63% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (0.051999999999992 0.05)15.26% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.04% (0.096999999999994 0.1)43.96% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.86% (0.016999999999996 0.02)37.14% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.07% (0.016999999999999 0.02)73.92% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 58.17%
    Weymouth 19.54%
    Draw 22.28%
St Albans CityDrawWeymouth
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 58.17%
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.28%
0-1 @ 5.62% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 19.54%