National League South Gameweek 24
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Joe Turner 7' goal
  • Jordan Greenidge 16' goal
  • Jordan Greenidge 50' goal
  • Jack Wood 90' goal

Tonbridge Angels vs Dover Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
St Albans City 2 - 3 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Jordan Greenidge

Dover Athletic

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
Dover Athletic 1 - 2 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Luke Wanadio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result

Tonbridge Angels 41.58% (-0.05)
Draw 26.2% (+0.01)
Dover Athletic 32.22% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.76% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.3% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 51.7% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 26.52% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 73.48% (+0.03)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 75.41% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 24.59% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 40.92% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 59.08% (+0.06)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 69.96% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.04% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.83% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.16% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Tonbridge Angels 41.58%
Draw 26.2%
Dover Athletic 32.22%
Tonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.27% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 41.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.39% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 26.2%
Dover Athletic
0-1 @ 8.88% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.49% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.34% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 32.22%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • Jordan Higgs 7' goal
  • goal Tushaun Tyreece-Walters 19'
  • goal Joe Turner 56'