National League South | Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
0 - 1
Farnborough Town

FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braintree 2-1 Bath City
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Farnborough Town in this match.

Result
Bath CityDrawFarnborough Town
27.64% (0.036999999999999 0.04)24.49% (-0.055 -0.05)47.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.78% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.39% (0.262 0.26)46.6% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.12% (0.246 0.25)68.87% (-0.247 -0.25)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.33% (0.16499999999999 0.16)30.67% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.08% (0.195 0.2)66.92% (-0.197 -0.2)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (0.11099999999999 0.11)19.54% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (0.18 0.18)51.45% (-0.183 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 27.64%
    Farnborough Town 47.87%
    Draw 24.49%
Bath CityDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 7.08% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.65% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.64%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.99% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.14% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.35% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.77% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 47.87%

Head to Head