Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.