National League South Gameweek 19
Dec 29, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Twerton Park Stadium
  • Sonny Cox 57' goal
  • Sonny Cox 63' goal
  • goal Ollie Pearce 54'
  • goal Ollie Starkey 90'+3'

Bath City vs Worthing - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bath City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
Bath City 1 - 3 Chippenham
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Scott Wilson

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
Worthing 4 - 3 Hampton
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Bath City 37.04% (+0.40)
Draw 25.56% (+0.12)
Worthing 37.4% (-0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.78% (-0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.8% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 48.2% (+0.51)
Over 3.5 29.65% (-0.47)
Under 3.5 70.35% (+0.47)

Bath City Goals

Over 0.5 74.59% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 25.41% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 39.78% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 60.22% (+0.03)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 74.78% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 25.21% (+0.51)
Over 1.5 40.05% (-0.71)
Under 1.5 59.95% (+0.71)

Score analysis

Bath City 37.04%
Draw 25.55%
Worthing 37.4%
Bath City
1-0 @ 8.78% (+0.18)
2-1 @ 8.28% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.01% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 3.78% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.75% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 37.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 6.41% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.55%
Worthing
0-1 @ 8.83% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.33% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.83% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 37.4%