National League South | Gameweek 29

Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Paddy Power Park

Farnborough Town
2 - 2
Ebbsfleet

Norville-Williams (28'), Kandi (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Domi (60'), Hollis (68')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Farnborough Town

All competitions

Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-1 Braintree
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Farnborough Town	Draw	Ebbsfleet
32.64% ( -5.14)	25.99% ( 0.65)	41.37% ( 4.48)

Both teams to score 53.59% (

-2.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.3% (

-3.5)

50.7% (

3.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.4% (

-3.17)

72.6% (

3.17)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.74% (

-4.72)

29.26% (

4.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.78% (

-6.2)

65.22% (

6.2)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.75% (

0.79)

24.24% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.4% (

1.1)

58.6% (

-1.1)

Score Analysis

Farnborough Town 32.64%

Ebbsfleet 41.37%

Draw 25.98%

Farnborough Town	Draw	Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.81) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.7) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.82) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.52) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.64) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.43) Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.64%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.95) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.44) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 10.05% ( 1.54) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 7.12% ( 1.23) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.31) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.64) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.75% Total : 41.37%