National League South | Gameweek 35

Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Hawthorns

Chelmsford City
0 - 1
Ebbsfleet

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cundle (52')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions

Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: St Albans City 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	Ebbsfleet
32.27% ( 0.07)	26.3% ( 0.02)	41.44% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 52.47% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.92% (

-0.05)

52.08% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.19% (

-0.05)

73.81% (

0.04)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.8% (

0.02)

30.2% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.64% (

0.03)

66.36% (

-0.03)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.17% (

-0.07)

24.83% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.57% (

-0.1)

59.42% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 32.27%

Ebbsfleet 41.43%

Draw 26.29%

Chelmsford City	Draw	Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.08% Other @ 3.21% Total : 32.27%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29%	0-1 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.43%