Havant & Waterlooville
National League South | Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Westleigh Park

Havant & W'ville
3 - 0
Chelmsford City

Ruff (59'), Fall (66'), Matthews (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Havant & Waterlooville and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Havant & Waterlooville

All competitions
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League South

Chelmsford City

All competitions
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-2 Bath City
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.

Result
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawChelmsford City
45.83% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)24.25% (0.004999999999999 0)29.91% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.17% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)44.17% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)66.54% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)19.42% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.75% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)51.24% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)27.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.4% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Havant & Waterlooville 45.83%
    Chelmsford City 29.92%
    Draw 24.24%
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawChelmsford City
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 45.83%
1-1 @ 11.32%
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.91% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.92%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Chelmsford City
3-4
Havant & W'ville
Lodovica (26'), Ruff (43'), Jackson (52' pen.)
Roberts (23' pen.), Oastler (34'), McCarthy (57'), Prior (85')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Havant & W'ville
2-1
Chelmsford City
Wall (52'), Payne (70' pen.)
Blackwell (74')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Chelmsford City
2-3
Havant & W'ville
Jackson (21', 90')
McCarthy (59', 62', 70')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Chelmsford City
P-P
Havant & W'ville
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Havant & W'ville
3-1
Chelmsford City
Wright (19', 63', 66')
Sheringham (82')