National League South Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Westleigh Park
  • Charlie Ruff 59' goal
  • Muhammadu Fall 66' goal
  • Sam Matthews 90'+3' goal

Havant & Waterlooville vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Havant & Waterlooville

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
Ebbsfleet 2 - 0 Havant & W'ville
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Muhammadu Fall

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 0 - 2 Bath City
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Tom Blackwell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.

Result

Havant & Waterlooville 45.83% (-0.03)
Draw 24.25% (+0.01)
Chelmsford City 29.91% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.17% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.83% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 44.17% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 33.45% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 66.54% (+0.03)

Havant & Waterlooville Goals

Over 0.5 80.58% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 19.42% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 48.75% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 51.24% (+0.03)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 72.18% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 27.81%
Over 1.5 36.59% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.4% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Havant & Waterlooville 45.83%
Draw 24.24%
Chelmsford City 29.92%
Havant & Waterlooville
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.85% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 45.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32%
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.4% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.24%
Chelmsford City
1-2 @ 7.25% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.91% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 1.89% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 29.92%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT The Hawthorns
  • Harry Lodovica 26' goal
  • Charlie Ruff 43' goal
  • Simeon Jackson 52' goal
  • goal James Roberts 23'
  • goal Joe Oastler 34'
  • goal Jake McCarthy 57'
  • goal Jason Prior 85'
National League South Gameweek 30
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Wall 52' goal
  • Stefan Payne 70' goal
  • goal Tom Blackwell 74'
National League South Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Simeon Jackson 21' goal
  • Simeon Jackson 90' goal
  • goal Jake McCarthy 59'
  • goal Jake McCarthy 62'
  • goal Jake McCarthy 70'
National League South Gameweek 24
National League South Gameweek 11
Dec 5, 2020 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tommy Wright 19' goal
  • Tommy Wright 63' goal
  • Tommy Wright 66' goal
  • goal Charlie Sheringham 82'
National League South Gameweek 42
Apr 25, 2020 3.00pm
The Hawthorns