Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.