National League South | Gameweek 23
Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Hardenhuish Park
Ebbsfleet United

Chippenham
0 - 0
Ebbsfleet

FT
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dartford 2-0 Chippenham
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-3 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 61.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 16.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 1-0 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawEbbsfleet
16.19% (1.429 1.43)22.12% (1.145 1.15)61.69% (-2.572 -2.57)
Both teams to score 47.44% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (-2.083 -2.08)49.82% (2.086 2.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (-1.891 -1.89)71.82% (1.894 1.89)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.24% (0.688 0.69)43.76% (-0.683 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.07% (0.563 0.56)79.93% (-0.56 -0.56)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (-1.503 -1.5)15.64% (1.508 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.33% (-2.869 -2.87)44.67% (2.873 2.87)
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 16.19%
    Ebbsfleet 61.68%
    Draw 22.11%
Chippenham TownDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 5.66% (0.562 0.56)
2-1 @ 4.34% (0.295 0.3)
2-0 @ 2.34% (0.272 0.27)
3-1 @ 1.2% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.11% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 16.19%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.522 0.52)
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.562 0.56)
2-2 @ 4.02% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.11%
0-1 @ 12.7% (0.41 0.41)
0-2 @ 11.77% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 7.28% (-0.557 -0.56)
1-3 @ 6.02% (-0.339 -0.34)
0-4 @ 3.38% (-0.457 -0.46)
1-4 @ 2.79% (-0.318 -0.32)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-5 @ 1.25% (-0.247 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-5 @ 1.04% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 61.68%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Ebbsfleet
3-0
Chippenham
Cundle (28'), Edser (67'), McQueen (83')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Chippenham
2-5
Ebbsfleet
Hanks (39'), Parselle (69')
Cundle (21'), Poleon (26', 59', 61'), Paxman (83')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Chippenham
1-2
Ebbsfleet
Ash (12')
Goodman (53', 82')