National League South | Gameweek 20
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Imperial Fields
Ebbsfleet United

Dulwich Hamlet
1 - 3
Ebbsfleet

Powell (48')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coulthirst (10'), Cundle (18'), McQueen (53')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dulwich Hamlet and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dulwich Hamlet

All competitions
Last Game: Slough 4-3 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 52.5%. A win for Dulwich Hamlet had a probability of 23.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Dulwich Hamlet win was 1-0 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Dulwich HamletDrawEbbsfleet
23.8% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)23.69% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)52.5% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.69% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.69% (0.058 0.06)46.31% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.4% (0.055 0.05)68.6% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Dulwich Hamlet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38% (0.016000000000005 0.02)33.61% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74% (0.02 0.02)70.26% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (0.031000000000006 0.03)17.61% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8% (0.058999999999997 0.06)48.2% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Dulwich Hamlet 23.8%
    Ebbsfleet 52.5%
    Draw 23.68%
Dulwich HamletDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 6.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 23.8%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 8.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.63% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.24% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 52.5%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Ebbsfleet
2-1
Dulwich Hamlet
Grainger (22' og.), Bingham (69')
Vint (11')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Dulwich Hamlet
5-2
Ebbsfleet
Sterling (38'), Green (59'), McQueen (63'), McGregor (81'), Sealy (90+2')
Egan (25'), Paxman (42')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dulwich Hamlet
P-P
Ebbsfleet
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Ebbsfleet
1-1
Dulwich Hamlet
Bingham (27')
Goodman (30')
White (33')