National League South | Gameweek 30

Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
4 - 1
Concord Rangers

Bingham (45+3', 79' pen.), Poleon (66', 89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bettamer (4')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Concord Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-3 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Top scorers

Concord Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 Oxford City
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 81.26%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 6.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.98%) and 1-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 0-1 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Concord Rangers
81.26% ( 0.16)	12.7% ( -0.09)	6.04% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 42.47% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.04% (

0.11)

35.96% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.95% (

0.12)

58.05% (

-0.12)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.22% (

0.06)

6.78% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.97% (

0.15)

25.03% (

-0.15)

Concord Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.56% (

-0.15)

54.43% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.46% (

-0.09)

87.54% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 81.25%

Concord Rangers 6.04%

Draw 12.7%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Concord Rangers
2-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.76% Total : 81.25%	1-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 12.7%	0-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 6.04%