Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.