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National League South | Gameweek 34
Feb 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Hawthorns

Chelmsford City
1 - 0
Tonbridge Angels

Trotter (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-2 Concord Rangers
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawTonbridge Angels
57.05% (-0.12 -0.12) 22.95% (0.044 0.04) 20% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 51.88% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)47.51% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)69.72% (0.079000000000008 0.08)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.59% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)16.42% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.92% (-0.126 -0.13)46.08% (0.129 0.13)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.07% (0.033000000000001 0.03)37.93% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.3% (0.030999999999999 0.03)74.7% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 57.05%
    Tonbridge Angels 20%
    Draw 22.94%
Chelmsford CityDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 11.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 6.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.009 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 57.05%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.29% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 20%

How you voted: Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels

Chelmsford City
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Tonbridge Angels
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Nov 9, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd21117332191340
2Boreham WoodBoreham Wood21116436171939
3Weston-super-MareWeston21116434231139
4Truro CityTruro City21115533191438
5Dorking WanderersDorking22107544311337
6Farnborough TownFarnborough2111373530536
7Worthing2110653330336
8Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne2110652926336
9Maidstone UnitedMaidstone208932920933
10Slough TownSlough2195738271132
11Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels198742621531
12AFC HornchurchHornchurch218762321231
13Hampton & RichmondHampton218672922730
14Chesham UnitedChesham198473029128
15Chelmsford CityChelmsford City206773532325
16Chippenham TownChippenham2174102627-125
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.2274112945-1625
18Welling UnitedWelling United2173112337-1424
19Salisbury205692831-321
20Bath City2154121529-1419
21Aveley2143142539-1415
22Enfield Town2143142246-2415
23St Albans CitySt Albans City2128112136-1514
24Weymouth2026121230-1812


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