National League South Gameweek 34
Feb 20, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • Liam Trotter 90'+6' goal

Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
Dover Athletic 0 - 0 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Tom Blackwell

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
Tonbridge Angels 2 - 2 Concord Rangers
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Jordan Greenidge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.

Result

Chelmsford City 57.05% (-0.12)
Draw 22.95% (+0.05)
Tonbridge Angels 20% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.88% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.49% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 47.51% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 30.28% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 69.72% (+0.08)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 83.59% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 16.42% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 53.92% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 46.08% (+0.13)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 62.07% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 37.93% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 25.3% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 74.7% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 57.05%
Draw 22.94%
Tonbridge Angels 20%
Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 11.25% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.16% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.12% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 57.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.9% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.23% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.78% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 22.94%
Tonbridge Angels
0-1 @ 6.04% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.29% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.93% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.71% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 20%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Jeremy Santos 14' goal
National League South Gameweek 36
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adebola Olowu 37' goal
  • goal Adam Coombes 50'
National League South Gameweek 15
Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joe Turner 23' goal
  • goal Simeon Jackson 61'
National League South Gameweek 33
National League South Gameweek 7
Nov 9, 2020 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Tom Parkinson 10'
  • goal Tom Beere 55'