National League South | Gameweek 34
Feb 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Hawthorns

Chelmsford City
1 - 0
Tonbridge Angels

Trotter (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League South

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-2 Concord Rangers
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawTonbridge Angels
57.05% (-0.12 -0.12)22.95% (0.044 0.04)20% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 51.88% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)47.51% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)69.72% (0.079000000000008 0.08)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.59% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)16.42% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.92% (-0.126 -0.13)46.08% (0.129 0.13)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.07% (0.033000000000001 0.03)37.93% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.3% (0.030999999999999 0.03)74.7% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 57.05%
    Tonbridge Angels 20%
    Draw 22.94%
Chelmsford CityDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 11.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 6.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.009 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 57.05%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.29% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 20%

How you voted: Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge Angels

Chelmsford City
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Tonbridge Angels
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Tonbridge Angels
1-0
Chelmsford City
Santos (14')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Chelmsford City
1-1
Tonbridge Angels
Olowu (37')
Coombes (50')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Tonbridge Angels
1-1
Chelmsford City
Turner (23')
Jackson (61')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Tonbridge Angels
0-0
Chelmsford City
Nov 9, 2020 7.45pm
Chelmsford City
0-2
Tonbridge Angels
Parkinson (10'), Beere (55')