National League South | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Concord Rangers

Tonbridge Angels
2 - 2
Concord Rangers

Aransibia (15'), Greenidge (37')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bettamer (23'), Modeste (71')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Concord Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League South

Concord Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Braintree 1-0 Concord Rangers
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawConcord Rangers
56.13% (-0.709 -0.71)22.84% (0.176 0.18)21.03% (0.531 0.53)
Both teams to score 53.83% (0.235 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.3% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)45.7% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (-0.081999999999997 -0.08)68.02% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.9% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)16.1% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.5% (-0.5 -0.5)45.5% (0.498 0.5)
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (0.483 0.48)35.84% (-0.485 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38% (0.492 0.49)72.62% (-0.494 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 56.12%
    Concord Rangers 21.03%
    Draw 22.83%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawConcord Rangers
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.62% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 56.12%
1-1 @ 10.81% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.83%
0-1 @ 5.92% (0.098 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.089 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 21.03%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Concord Rangers
1-0
Tonbridge Angels
Williamson (49')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Concord Rangers
1-1
Tonbridge Angels
Simper (77')
Wood (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Tonbridge Angels
2-3
Concord Rangers
Turner (37'), Olutade (50')
Payne (39'), Green (46'), Allen (88')
Mar 30, 2021 7.45pm
Concord Rangers
0-0
Tonbridge Angels
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Tonbridge Angels
2-0
Concord Rangers
Parkinson (59'), Greenhalgh (90+2')