Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bath City in this match.