National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Beveree Stadium

Hampton
2 - 1
Chelmsford City

Whittingham (40'), Thomas (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Blackwell (90+3')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hampton & Richmond and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hampton & Richmond

All competitions
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-3 Hampton
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South

Chelmsford City

All competitions
Last Game: Chelmsford City 5-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Monday, March 6 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Hampton & RichmondDrawChelmsford City
35.27% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)26.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)38.63% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.35% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)50.65% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.56% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Hampton & Richmond Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.41% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)27.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)63.12% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (0.00099999999999056 0)25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43% (0.0020000000000024 0)60.57% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hampton & Richmond 35.27%
    Chelmsford City 38.63%
    Draw 26.09%
Hampton & RichmondDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.27%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 9.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.82%
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.3%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 38.63%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Chelmsford City
0-2
Hampton
Fernandez (37'), Block (73' pen.)
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Chelmsford City
1-0
Hampton
James (79')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Hampton
4-2
Chelmsford City
Deadfield (35'), Dronfield (51'), Donaldson (56'), Fisher (71')
Jackson (8'), Sheringham (63')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Hampton
P-P
Chelmsford City
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Chelmsford City
0-1
Hampton

Roberts (60')
Carvalho (68')