National League South Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • Cameron James 4' goal
  • Tom Blackwell 19' goal
  • Tom Blackwell 43' goal
  • Tyreke Johnson 58' goal
  • Callum Jones 60' goal
  • goal Joe Boachie 53'

Chelmsford City vs Hungerford Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
Oxford City 3 - 1 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Tom Blackwell

Hungerford Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 13, 2023 7.45pm
Concord Rangers 1 - 0 Hungerford
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Jake Evans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result

Chelmsford City 60.12% (+2.25)
Draw 20.83% (-0.64)
Hungerford Town 19.06% (-1.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.38% (-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.55% (+0.59)
Under 2.5 39.45% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 38.21% (+0.61)
Under 3.5 61.79% (-0.61)
Over 4.5 20.72% (+0.48)
Under 4.5 79.28% (-0.47)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 87.24% (+0.86)
Under 0.5 12.75% (-0.86)
Over 1.5 60.98% (+1.73)
Under 1.5 39.02% (-1.73)

Hungerford Town Goals

Over 0.5 65.76% (-1.27)
Under 0.5 34.23% (+1.27)
Over 1.5 29.07% (-1.38)
Under 1.5 70.93% (+1.38)

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 60.12%
Draw 20.83%
Hungerford Town 19.06%
Chelmsford City
2-1 @ 9.92% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.26% (+0.34)
1-0 @ 8.99% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.81% (+0.23)
3-0 @ 6.36% (+0.43)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.51% (+0.23)
4-0 @ 3.27% (+0.32)
4-2 @ 1.88% (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.44% (+0.14)
5-0 @ 1.35% (+0.17)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 60.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.64% (-0.29)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.18)
0-0 @ 4.37% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.83%
Hungerford Town
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.35)
0-1 @ 4.68% (-0.30)
0-2 @ 2.51% (-0.26)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.20)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 19.06%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 13
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Bulpit Lane
  • Jake Evans 76' goal
  • goal Callum Jones 29'
National League South Gameweek 34
Mar 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Ryan Seager 54'
  • goal Ryan Seager 63'
National League South Gameweek 23
Jan 22, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ryan Seager 40' goal
  • Ryan Seager 59' goal
  • goal Zak Bradshaw 27'
National League South Gameweek 41
May 21, 2021 11.00pm
National League South Gameweek 26